Free trading tool
Risk of ruin calculator:your real odds of blowing an account.
Win rate and reward:risk alone don't tell the whole story - the size of your losing streaks does. This runs thousands of simulated sequences of your own trading stats to estimate your real risk of ruin.
Win rate - 50%
Reward : risk ratio - 2.0
Risk per trade - 1%
Ruin threshold - 50% of starting balance
Trades to simulate
Risk of ruin
0.0%
Of 1,000 simulated sequences of 250 trades
Median ending balance
338%
Of starting balance
Best simulated run
829%
Worst simulated run
160%
How it works
A real simulation,not a guess.
Risk of ruin doesn't have a simple formula once wins and losses are different sizes, so this runs an actual Monte Carlo simulation instead of a shortcut.
This runs 1,000 independent simulated sequences of your trades, each one risking your chosen percentage of the current balance on every trade - so a losing streak shrinks your risk in dollar terms the same way it would in a real account. A run counts as “ruined” the moment balance drops to or below your ruin threshold.
This is a statistical estimate based on the win rate and reward:risk ratio you enter - real trading results vary and are not guaranteed to match your historical stats going forward.
Ready when you are
Your capital stays yours.The risk is ours.
One evaluation fee, no time limits and up to 90% of simulated profits. Pick an account size and your credentials arrive by email within minutes.
No subscriptions or hidden fees
Payouts every 14 days
$400,000 max total allocation