A break that failed, then a break that held, described
An illustrative sequence in words, with round numbers standing in for price. It is not taken from any real instrument or date.
- 1. RangePrice holds between 200 and 206 for two days, turning near each edge several times.
- 2. False breakA candle trades to 206.8 but closes at 205.5, back inside. A trader using a close rule does nothing.
- 3. Second breakThe next session closes at 207.2, beyond the range. The trader enters with a stop at 205, back inside the range.
- 4. ManagementPrice moves to 210 over the day. The trader moves the stop to 206.5, below the old range high.
The close rule filtered the first break and caught the second - this time. On another day the second break could have reversed too, and the stop at 205 would have been the loss. The rule set the risk; it did not set the result.